內容簡介
本書作為我軍第一部系統論述裝備技術體系設計的理論專著，圍繞裝備技術體系理論和方法、裝備技術體系設計、技術預見理論和方法、裝備技術體系分析與評估等問題， 著眼裝備技術體系設計的需求分析、技術供應、體系生成和方案確定等各環節，從理論、方法、套用三個層次系統研究裝備技術體系設計方法和技術研究，為我軍裝備技術體系設計由經驗粗放式向科學精細化轉變提供理論支撐。本書可供系統工程、體系工程、軍事裝備學、管理科學與工程相關專業的研究人員、工程技術人員、管理人員參考閱讀，目的是增強其對裝備技術體系的全局意識，提高其對裝備技術體系的知識水平和套用能力。
圖書目錄
第1章緒論1
1.1引言1
1.2國外研究現狀2
1.2.1裝備技術體系理論研究2
1.2.2裝備技術體系分析與評估研究7
1.2.3裝備技術發展預測研究10
1.2.4裝備技術體系設計研究12
1.3國內研究現狀13
1.3.1裝備技術體系理論研究13
1.3.2裝備技術體系分析與評估研究14
1.3.3裝備技術發展預測分析研究15
1.3.4裝備技術體系設計研究17
1.4章節安排18
1.4.1目標18
1.4.2本書的邏輯架構19
1.4.3本書的主要內容19
第2章裝備技術體系基本概念與特點21
2.1基本概念21
2.1.1相關術語21
2.1.2科學技術體系26
2.1.3國防科學技術體系27
2.1.4裝備技術體系28
2.2裝備技術體系的特點29
2.3理論基礎和研究方法30
2.3.1理論基礎30
2.3.2研究方法32
2.4本書的創新點32
2.4.1裝備技術體系結構設計框架32
2.4.2裝備技術體系設計理論與技術33
2.4.3裝備技術體系最佳化和評價模型33
2.4.4基於知識計量的技術預見模型33
第3章裝備技術體系結構與構建要素34
3.1裝備技術體系結構概述34
3.1.1基本概念34
3.1.2國內外研究現狀38
3.2裝備技術體系結構40
3.2.1結構分類原則40
3.2.2結構形式43
3.2.3結構模型45
3.3裝備技術體系構建要素48
3.3.1裝備技術體系的結構特徵48
3.3.2裝備技術體系與裝備體系的辯證關係49
3.3.3裝備體系構建要素50
3.3.4裝備技術體系構建要素52
3.3.5裝備技術體系數據要素55
3.3.6各種要素之間的關係56
第4章裝備技術體系結構視圖57
4.1裝備技術體系結構視圖設計概述57
4.1.1基本概念57
4.1.2技術體系結構視圖設計目標58
4.1.3技術體系結構設計原則58
4.2裝備技術體系結構設計視圖產品59
4.2.1技術標準體系（TV-1）60
4.2.2技術標準預測描述（TV-2）60
4.2.3技術層次關係描述（TV-3）61
4.2.4技術映射關係描述（TV-4）63
4.2.5技術對能力支撐描述（TV-5）63
4.2.6裝備到技術映射描述（TV-6）64
4.2.7技術體系與項目體系關聯描述（TV-7）64
第5章裝備技術體系設計基礎66
5.1裝備技術體系設計概述66
5.1.1設計目標66
5.1.2設計內容67
5.1.3設計原則68
5.2設計需求分析72
5.2.1需求獲取72
5.2.2需求分解74
5.2.3需求融合75
5.3設計約束分析75
5.3.1裝備發展分析76
5.3.2科技發展分析76
5.4構建要素設計76
5.4.1設計要素構成76
5.4.2要素信息採集78
第6章裝備技術體系設計方法82
6.1體系設計方法概述82
6.1.1體系設計方法維度82
6.1.2體系設計相關技術82
6.2體系結構設計85
6.2.1設計方法85
6.2.2結構要素88
6.2.3設計步驟89
6.3體系組成設計90
6.3.1設計方法90
6.3.2組成要素93
6.3.3設計步驟94
6.4人機綜合設計方法97
6.4.1計算機輔助分析97
6.4.2專家提煉與綜合97
第7章裝備技術體系評估最佳化100
7.1評估方法100
7.1.1主要技術體系評估方法100
7.1.2基於專家調查的裝備技術體系評估101
7.2評估指標102
7.2.1評估指標設計原則102
7.2.2評估指標體系形式103
7.2.3評估指標體系103
7.3評估步驟105
第8章裝備技術預見理論和方法107
8.1技術預見概述107
8.1.1技術預見定義107
8.1.2技術預見的目標和功能108
8.1.3技術預見的構成要素109
8.1.4技術預見的基本原則110
8.1.5主要技術預見方法111
8.2國內外技術預見套用概況114
8.2.1日本技術預見114
8.2.2美國技術預見115
8.2.3德國技術預見115
8.2.4英國技術預見116
8.2.5我國技術預見套用概況116
8.3裝備技術綜合集成技術預見的總體框架119
8.3.1綜合集成技術預見的總體思路119
8.3.2綜合集成技術預見的組織結構119
8.3.3綜合集成裝備技術預見的基本流程122
8.4裝備技術綜合集成技術預見的關鍵技術125
8.4.1領域和技術清單確定方法125
8.4.2技術調查指標體系設計與調查問卷設計方法128
8.4.3技術調查專家選擇方法134
8.4.4技術調查數據處理方法138
8.4.5基於知識計量的前沿技術預見方法145
第9章裝備技術體系設計示例148
9.1無人機裝備技術體系實例148
9.1.1無人機裝備概述148
9.1.2技術結構分解151
9.1.3技術預見選擇154
9.1.4體系產品生成157
9.2巡航飛彈裝備技術體系實例160
9.2.1巡航飛彈裝備概述160
9.2.2技術結構分解163
9.2.3技術預見選擇165
9.2.4體系產品生成168
9.3偵察探測衛星技術體系實例172
9.3.1偵察探測衛星概述172
9.3.2技術結構分解174
9.3.3技術預見選擇175
9.3.4體系產品生成180
附表185
參考文獻187
後記189
內容簡介190
Contents
Chapter 1Introduction1
1.1Foreword1
1.2The status quo of foreign research2
1.2.1Theory researches on armament technology system of systems2
1.2.2Analysis and assessment researches on armament technology system of
systems7
1.2.3Forecast researches on the development of armament technologies10
1.2.4System of systems design researches on armament technologies12
1.3The status quo of domestic research13
1.3.1Theory researches on armament technology system of systems13
1.3.2Analysis and assessment researches on armament technology system of
systems14
1.3.3Forecast researches on the development of armament technologies15
1.3.4System of systems design researches on armament technologies17
1.4The arrangement of contents18
1.4.1Objectives18
1.4.2Logic framework19
1.4.3Main contents19
Chapter 2Basic concepts and characteristics of armament technology system of
systems21
2.1Basic concepts21
2.1.1Relative terms21
2.1.2Science and technology system of systems26
2.1.3National defense science and technology system of systems27
2.1.4Armament technology system of systems28
2.2Characteristics of armament technology system of systems29
2.3Theory foundation and research methods30
2.3.1Theory foundation30
2.3.2Research methods32
2.4Innovative points in this book32
2.4.1Theoretic framework for structure design of armament technology system of
systems32
2.4.2Design theory and technology for armament technology system of systems
33
2.4.3Optimum and assessment models for armament technology system of systems
33
2.4.4Based knowledge measurement models for technology forecast
33
Chapter 3Framework and construction elements of armament technology system of
systems34
3.1Armament technology architecture introduction34
3.1.1Basic conceptions34
3.1.2Research status38
3.2Armament technology architecture40
3.2.1The principles of structure classification40
3.2.2Structure form43
3.2.3Structure model45
3.3Construction elements of armament technology system of systems48
3.3.1The structural characteristics of armament technology system of systems
48
3.3.2The dialectical relationship between armament technology system of
systems and armament system of systems49
3.3.3Construction elements of armament system of systems50
3.3.4Construction elements of armament technology system of systems52
3.3.5Data elements of armament technology system of systems55
3.3.6The relationship among various elements 56
Chapter 4Architecture viewpoints of armament technology system57
4.1Armament technology architecture viewpoints design introduction57
4.1.1Basic concepts57
4.1.2Design object of armament technology architecture viewpoints58
4.1.3Design principles of armament technology architecture58
4.2Viewpoint products of armament technology architecture Design 59
4.2.1Technical standards system of systems (TV-1) 60
4.2.2Technical standards forecast description (TV-2)60
4.2.3Technology hierarchy description (TV-3) 61
4.2.4Technology mapping relation description (TV-4) 63
4.2.5Supporting description of technology to capability (TV-5) 63
4.2.6Mapping description of armament to technology (TV-6) 64
4.2.7Correlative description of technology system of systems and project
system of systems (TV-7) 64
Chapter 5Fundamentals of armament technology System of Systems Design66
5.1Armament technology system of systems design introduction66
5.1.1Design objectives66
5.1.2Design content67
5.1.3Design principles68
5.2Analysis of design requirement 72
5.2.1Requirement investigation72
5.2.2Requirement decomposition74
5.2.3Requirement fusion75
5.3Analysis of design constraint 75
5.3.1Analysis of armament development76
5.3.2Analysis of science and technology development-76
5.4Analysis of design elements76
5.4.1Spectrum of design elements76
5.4.2Collection of design elements78
Chapter 6Design methods of armament technology System of Systems82
6.1Armament technology System of Systems design methods introduction82
6.1.1Dimensions of Armament technology system of systems design methods
82
6.1.2Related Technologies of Armament technology system of systems design82
6. 2Architecture design of armament technology system of systems85
6.2.1Architecture design methods85
6.2.2Architecture design elements88
6.2.3Architecture design steps89
6.3Composition design of armament technology system of systems90
6.3.1Composition design methods90
6.3.2Composition design elements93
6.3.3Composition design steps94
6.4Human-computer integrated design method97
6.4.1Computer-aid analysis97
6.4.2Specialist refining and integration97
Chapter 7Assessment and optimization of armament technology system of
systems100
7.1Assessment method100
7.1.1The main assessment method of technology system100
7.1.2Assessment of armament technology system of systems based expert survey
ZK)〗101
7.2Assessment index102
7.2.1Principles of Assessment index design102
7.2.2Format of assessment index system103
7.2.3Assessment index system103
7.3Assessment process105
Chapter 8Theory and method of armament technology forecast107
8.1Technology forecast introduction107
8.1.1Definition of technology forecast107
8.1.2Target and function of technology forecast108
8.1.3Factor of technology forecast109
8.1.4Principia of technology forecast110
8.1.5Main method of technology forecast111
8.2Technology forecast application survey114
8.2.1The Japanese technology forecast114
8.2.2The American technology forecast115
8.2.3The German technology forecast115
8.2.4The British technology forecast116
8.2.5The Chinese technology forecast116
8.3Whole frame of armament technology integrated technology forecast119
8.3.1The thought of integrated technology forecast119
8.3.2Frame of integrated technology forecast119
8.3.3Basic process of integrated technology forecast122
8.4Key technology of armament technology integrated technology forecast125
8.4.1Selest method of areas and technology list125
8.4.2Method of technology survery index design and questionnaire design
128
8.4.3Method of technology survery expert selecting134
8.4.4Method of technology survery data processing138
8.4.5Cutting-edge technology forecast Method based knowledge measurement145
Chapter 9Design case of armament technology system of systems148
9.1Design case of AUV technology system of systems148
9.1.1AUV introduction148
9.1.2Technological breakdown structure151
9.1.3Technology forecast and selection154
9.1.4Product generation of technology system of systems 157
9.2Design case of cruiser missile technology system of systems 160
9.2.1Cruiser missile introduction160
9.2.2Technological breakdown structure163
9.2.3Technology forecast and selection165
9.2.4Product generation of technology system of systems168
9.3Design case of Reconnaissance satellite172
9.3.1Reconnaissance satellite- introduction172
9.3.2Technological breakdown structure174
9.3.3Technology forecast and selection175
9.3.4Product generation of technology system of systems180
Appendix Tables185
References187
Postscript189
Blurb190
