甘犁

甘犁

甘犁,男,美國德克薩斯農工大學經濟系終身教授、西南財經大學經濟與管理研究院院長、中國家庭金融調查(CHFS)與研究中心主任。甘犁,1987年獲得清華經管學院學士學位,1998 年獲得加州大學伯克利分甘犁校經濟學博士及統計學碩士學位。甘犁長期從事套用個體經濟學和計量經濟學等領域的研究,師從諾貝爾經濟學獎獲得者麥克法登教授,獲加州大學伯克利分校經濟學博士學位,任美國德克薩斯農工大學經濟系副教授(終身性職務),以及美國國民經濟研究局研究員。甘犁認為,學術環境寬鬆而自由,不一定在哈佛任教才是優秀的學者,也不一定只在《美國經濟評論》發文才算對學術有貢獻。

個人履歷

甘犁,1987年獲得清華經管學院學士學位,1998 年獲得加州大學伯克利分甘犁校經濟學博士及統計學碩士學位。現任德克薩斯農工大學經濟學副教授,美國國家經濟研究局研究員。甘犁長期從事套用個體經濟學和計量經濟學等領域的研究,師從諾貝爾經濟學獎獲得者麥克法登教授,獲加州大學伯克利分校經濟學博士學位,任美國德克薩斯農工大學經濟系副教授(終身性職務),以及美國國民經濟研究局研究員。他是西南財大國際化戰略引進的海外人才,被特聘為該校經濟管理學院院長。

個人職務

CURRENT POSITION

2005 – present: Associate Professor of Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station

Dean of Research Institute of Economics and Management, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chind

OTHER POSITIONS

2004 – present: Faculty Research Fellow, National Bureau of Economic Research.

2005 – present: Research Fellow, Private Enterprise Center, Texas A&M University

PREVIOUS POSITION

1998 – 2005: Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Texas, Austin.

Spring 2010: Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business, Beijing, China

教育經歷

Ph.D. 1998 Economics, University of California, Berkeley
M,A 1993 Statistics, University of California, Berkeley
Course , Work 1993 Economics, University of California, Irvine
B,E 1987 Management Information Systems, Tsinghua University, Beijing

教授課程

Probability and Statistics (graduate level)

Econometrics (I and II, graduate level)

Applied Microeconometrics (graduate level)

Public Economics (graduate level)

Intermediate Macroeconomics

Principles of Macroeconomics

各類雜誌匿名審稿人

American Economic Review,

B.E. Journals in Economic Analysis and Policy,

China Economic Review,

Econometric Journal,

Econometric Review,

Econometric Theory,

Economic Inquiry,

Environmental and Planning A,

European Economic Review,

Health Economics,

Industrial & Labor Relations Review,

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, J

ournal of Financial Econometrics,

Journal of Law and Economics,

Journal of Law and Economic Organization,

Journal of Political Economy,

Journal of Population Economics,

Journal of Productivity Analysis,

Journal of Public Economics,

Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,

IEEE Transaction on Information Theory,

National Science Foundation,

Review of Economics and Statistics,

Review of Income andWealth,

Southern Economic Journal,

Statistics in Medicine,

Theoretical Population Biology,

Urban Studies.

學術榮譽

· 2001年,德克薩斯大學人文學院拉波波特王獎

· 2006年,中國教育部“長江學者”講座教授

· 2007年,德克薩斯農工大學經濟系優秀研究生導師

· 2011年,中組部“千人計畫”入選者

· 2011年,獲得《Economic Inquiry》最佳論文獎

教育經歷

· 1982-1987:清華大學信息管理學院,學士學位

· 1990-1993年:美國加州大學歐文分校經濟學,研究生學習

· 1993-1998年:美國加州大學伯克利分校統計學,碩士學位

· 1993-1998年:美國加州大學伯克利分校經濟學,博士學位

工作經歷

現任職務

· 美國德克薩斯農工大學經濟系,教授,碩士研究生項目負責人

· 美國國民經濟研究局,高級研究員

· 美國德克薩斯農工大學民營企業中心,研究員

· 西南財經大學經濟與管理研究院,教授,院長

· 西南財經大學中國家庭金融調查與研究中心,主任

曾任職務

· 2005-2011:美國德克薩斯農工大學經濟系,副教授

· 1998-2005:美國德克薩斯大學奧斯汀分校經濟系,助理教授

· 2010:中國長江商學院經濟系,訪問副教授

· 2004-2013:美國國民經濟研究局,研究員

主講課程

課程名稱 講授對象
機率論與數理統計 博士
計量經濟學 博士
套用個體經濟學 博士
公共經濟學 博士
論文寫作 碩士
中級總量經濟學 本科
初級總量經濟學 本科

研究課題及資助

· Dean’s Fellowship, University of Texas. Spring 2000

· Faculty Research Grant, University of Texas. 2000-2001

· Research Contract: Second-Best Control of Vehicle Emissions in U.S. and Japan.Economic and Social Research Institute of Japan, 2002-2004

Role: Co-PI (PI: D. Fullerton)

· Research Contract: The Impact of Health Shocks on Household Welfare and the Effectiveness of Public Intervention in Rural China. World Bank Research Committee, 2003 -2005.

Role: Co-PI (PI: L.C. Xu)

· P01 AG005842-150012 Improving Data Measurement in Surveys of the Elderly National Institute of Aging/National Bureau of Economic Research, 2000-2001

Role: PI for the subcontract (PI: D. McFadden)

· R01 AG12921 Using Subjective Information to Explain Saving Decisions National Institute of Aging/National Bureau of Economic Research, 1996 -2003

Role: PI for the subcontract (PI: M. Hurd)

· R03 HD046892 Endogenous Mortality Risk and Educational Attainment of Black and White Men. The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, January 2005-January 2007

Role: PI

· China Household Finance Survey. The National 211 Project, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, and the Agricultural Bank of China.Summer 2009

Role: PI

學術論文及著作

英文論文

Gan, Li, Jaeun Shin, and Qi Li. “Initial Wage, Human Capital, and Post-wage Differentials.” Forthcoming, Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics.

Nan, Jia and Li Gan. “Heterogeneous Production Functions and Regional Disparity.” China Economic Review, Vol 21, September 2010, pages S12-S19.

Gan, Li, Zhichao Yin, and Wenbin Zang. “The Impact of Housing Reform on Durables Consumption in China.” China Economic Review, Vol 21, September 2010, pages S55-S64.

Gan, Li, Roberton Williams III, and Thomas Wiseman. “A Simple Model of Optimal Hate Crime Legislation.” Economic Inquiry, August, 2010.

Ai, Chunrong, and Li Gan. “An Alternative Root-N Consistent Estimator for Panel Data Binary Choice Models.” Journal of Econometrics, Volume 157, Issue 1, July 2010: 93-100.

Gan, Li, Dong Li, and Shunfeng Song. “Is the Zipf’s Law Spurious in Explaining City-Size Distribution?” Economics Letters 92 (2006): 256-262

Gan, Li and Qinghua Zhang. “The Thick Market Effect of Local Unemployment Rate Fluctuations.” Journal of Econometrics 133(2006): 127-152.

Fullerton, Don, and Li Gan. “Cost Effective Policies to Reduce Vehicle Emissions.” American Economic Review, May, 2005: 300-304

Chung, Jeff, and Li Gan. “Empirical Estimates of Effect of Price Limits on Limit-Hitting Days.” Econometrics Journal 8, (2005): 79-96.

Fullerton, Don and Li Gan. “A Simulation-Based Welfare Loss Calculation for Labor Taxes with Piecewise-Linear Budgets.” Journal of Public Economics 88, (2004): 2339-59.

Gan, Li, and Victoria Vernon. “Testing the Barten Model of Economies of Scale in Household Consumption: Toward Resolving a Paradox of Deaton and Paxson.” Journal of Political Economy 111(6), (2003): 1361-77.

Chand, Harish, and Li Gan. “The Effect of Bracketing in Wealth Estimation.” Review of Income and Wealth 49(2), (June 2003): 273-87.

Gan, Li. “The Uncertain Fair-Wage Effort Hypothesis and Wage Secrecy.” Topics in Economic Analysis and Policy 2(1), (2002): 1-15.

Gan, Li, and Jiming Jiang. “A Test for Global Maximum.” Journal of American Statistical Association (JASA) 94(447), (September 1999): 847-54.

Skaperdas, Stergios, and Li Gan. “Risk Aversion in Contests.” The Economic Journal. 105(431), (July 1995): 951-62.

中文論文

Gan, Li, Guoen Liu, and Shuang Ma. “The Effect of Basic Health Insurance on Consumption.” Economic Research Journal, Special Issue on Consumption Finance, 2010. pp 30-38.

Jia, Nan, and Li Gan (2010): “A Survey of the Forum of Chinese Health Care Reform”. Economic Research Journal, November 2010: pp 152-156.

Yin, Zhichao and Li Gan(2010):“Smoking, Drinking and Wages.” Economic Research Journal, October 2010: pp 90-100.

Li, Feng, Li Gan, and Xiaoling Yang (2010): “Timing of Submitting Applications for the National College Exam” Education Research, October, 2010: pp53-60

Ma, Shuang, Wenbin Zang and Li Gan (2010): “The Effect of New Rural Cooperative Health Insurance to Food Consumption.” China Economic Quarterly, October, 2010: pp30-39.

Xu, Shu, Han Li, and Li Gan (2010): “Market Competition and China’s Airline Pricing” China Economic Quarterly, forthcoming

Huang, Feng, and Li Gan (2010): “Over Demand or Efficient Demand ? An Empirical Study of Health and Health Insurance for Urban Elderly.” Economic Research Journal, June 2010: pp105-119.

Deng, Guoying, Li Gan and Yaoguo Wu(2010):“Overreaction in Housing Market.” Management World, June, 2010

Yin, Zhichao, and Li Gan (2010): ”The effect of China Housing Reform on Durable consumption” China Economic Quarterly, January, 2010

Shuang Ma, Li Gan, and Xianghua Gao (2009): “Income Shock and Nutrition Intakes.” Management World, May, 2009, PP 44-57

Yin, Zhichao, and Li Gan (2009): “An Empirical Study on the Difference between Public Sector and Private Sector.” Economic Research Journal, April 2009, PP129-140

Shan, Liwei, Li Gan, and Tao Zhen (2008): “Corporate Donation and Economic Incentives after the Wenchuan Earthquake.” Economic Research Journal, November, 2008

學術著作

Gan, Li, Guan Gong, and Michael Hurd. “Net Intergenerational Transfers from an Increase in Social Security Benefits.” In Dimitri Papadimitriou, ed., Government Spending on the Elderly, Palgrave Publishing, 2007: 178-188.

Gan, Li, Michael Hurd, and Daniel McFadden. “Individual Subjective Survival Curves.” In David Wise, ed., Analyses in Economics of Aging. The University of Chicago Press, 2005: 377-411.

Hurd, Michael, Daniel McFadden, Harish Chand, Li Gan, Angela Merrill, and Michael Roberts. “Consumption and Saving Balances of the Elderly: Experimental Evidence on Survey Response Bias.” In David Wise, ed., Topics in the Economics of Aging, The University of Chicago Press, 1998: 353-87.

Hurd, Michael, Daniel McFadden, and Li Gan. “Subjective Survival Curves and Life Cycle Saving Behavior.” In David Wise, ed., Inquiries in the Economics of Aging. The University of Chicago Press, 1998: 259-305.

工作論文

Fullerton, Don, Li Gan, and Miwa Hattori. “A Model to Evaluate Vehicle Emission Incentive Policies in Japan.” Revision requested by Review of Economics and Statistics.

Gan, Li, and Qinghua Zhang. “The Market Thickness and the Impact of Unemployment on Housing Market Outcomes.” Revision requested by Econometrica.

Gan, Li, and Qi Li. “Efficiency of Thin and Thick Markets.” NBER Working Paper #10815. Revision requested by Journal of Econometrics.

Gan, Li and Manuel A. Hernandez, “Making friends with your neighbors? Agglomeration and tacit collusion in the lodging industry.” NBER Working Paper #16738. Revision requested by Review of Economics and Statistics

Gan, Li, Cheng Hsiao, and Shu Xu. “Model Specification Test with Correlated but Not-Cointegrated Non-Stationary Variables.” Revision requested by Journal of Econometrics.

Gan, Li, Feng Huang, and Adalbert Mayer. “A Simple Test of Private Information in the Insurance Markets with Heterogeneous Insurance Demand.” NBER Working Paper # 16738. Under review at Journal of Political Economy.

Gan, Li and Guan Gong. “Estimating Interdependence between Health and Education in a Dynamic Model.” NBER Working Paper #12830. Under review at International Economic Review.

Gan, Li and Liwei Shan. “Incentives of Corporate Donations after the Wenchuan Earthquake in China.” Working Paper. Under review at European Economic Review.

Gan, Li, Colin Lixin Xu, and Yang Yao. “Democracy and Consumption Insurance: Evidence from Chinese Villages.” Under review at Economic Development and Cultural Change.

Gan, Li and Yingning Wang. “Residential mobility, neighborhood effects, and education attainment of blacks and whites.” Under review at Journal of Labor Economics

Gan, Li, Guan Gong, Michael Hurd, and Daniel McFadden. “Individual Subjective Survival Curves and Bequests.” NBER Working Paper Series #10789. Under review at Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Gan, Li, Tarun Sabarwal, and Hellen Zhang. “Personal Bankruptcy: Reconciling Adverse Events and Strategic Timing Theories Using Heterogeneity in Filing Types.” Under review at American Economic Review.

Gan, Li, Colin Lixin Xu, and Yang Yao. “Health Shocks, Village Elections, and Long-Term Income: Evidence from Rural China.” NBER Working Paper #12686. Under review at Health Economics.

Gan, Li, Feng Huang, and Ren Mu. “Estimating the effects of Public Health Insurance for Elderly in Urban China.” Working paper.

Gan, Li, Yingning Wang, and Zhichao Yin. “Smoking, Drinking, and Income.” Working paper.

Feng, Ye, Don Fullerton, and Li Gan. “Vehicle Choices, Miles Driven, and Pollution Policies.” NBER Working Paper Series #11553.

Collins, Courtney and Li Gan. “Switching to Better Schools: A Model of Class Size and Mover Endogeneity.” Working paper.

Collins, Courtney, and Li Gan. “Smaller Classes and Similar Peer: Disentangling the Effects of Class Size and Class Composition.” Working paper.

Gan, Li, and Noelia Paez. “The Effects of Female Labor Market Participation on Fertility Spacing.” Working paper.

Gan, Li, Gaoshen Ju, and Qi Li. “Estimation of Labor Supply and Exact Welfare Change under Flexible Preferences and Generalized Piecewise-Linear Budgets.” Working paper.

Gan, Li and Shuang Ma. “The Effect of New Rural Cooperative Medical System on Household Food Consumption.” Working paper.

Gan, Li and Roberto Mosquera. “An Empirical Study of the Credit Market with Unobserved Consumer Types.” NBER Working Paper Series #13873.

Escobari, Diego, and Li Gan. “Price Dispersion under Costly Capacity and Demand Uncertainty.” NBER Working Paper #13075.

Gan, Li, and Tarun Sabarwal. “A Simple Test of Adverse Events and Strategic Timing Theories of Consumer Bankruptcy.” NBER Working Paper Series #11763.

Gan, Li, and Guan Gong. “Mortality Risk and Educational Attainment of Black and White Men.” NBER Working Paper #10381.

Gan, Li, and Feng Li. “Application Timing and Admission Mechanism in the National College Entrance Exam in China.” Working paper.

Gan, Li and Jijun Tan. “How Does the Optimal Two-Bracket Income Tax Depend on Wage Inequality.” Working Paper.

Gan, Li, Xiaojin Su, and Lin Zou. “Dynamics of Volume and Price: A New Approach.” Working Paper.

Gan, Li, and Wen-Yao Wang. “Partial Deposit Insurance and Moral Hazard in Banking System.” Working Paper.

Gan, Li, and Dale Stahl. “Estimating Labor Supply under Piecewise-Linear Budget Constraints with Measurement Errors.”

Gan, Li. “On the Volatility of Capital Stock and Labor.”

Chand, Harish, and Li Gan. “Wealth Item Non-response and Imputation in the AHEAD.”

人物生平

奮發求索,博學多產

甘犁是一位興趣廣泛的學者,他以套用個體經濟學為基礎,研究涉及公共經濟學、勞動經濟學、發展經濟學和工業組織等領域;他也是一位高產的學者,多篇學術論文及研究成果發表於《美國經濟評論》(American Economic Review)、《政治經濟學雜誌》(Journal of Political Economy)、《計量經濟學雜誌》(Journal of Econometrics)、《公共經濟學雜誌》(Journal of Public Economics)、《美國統計協會雜誌》(Journal of American Statistical Association)、 《經濟學報》(The Economic Journal)、《計量經濟學雜誌》(Econometrics Journal)、《經濟學快報》(Economics Letters)等國際頂尖經濟學期刊上。

不同時期,甘犁都會產生一些新的研究興趣和想法,於是他便用兩、三年甚至更長的時間去鑽研、探索,直到產生新的突破為止。不同領域之間的研究會相互交織、碰撞,產生啟迪,激發靈感。有時,由此可以找到解決此前長期困擾、懸而未決問題的方法,而有時,即便經過大量艱辛努力,卻依然無果。接下來他便給我們講述了他研究中的幾個實例。

一個例子是他最近正在研究的用計量經濟學的方法區分具有異質性的人群。在保險市場上,人們熟知的逆向選擇模型指出,由於保險的購買者具有私人信息,知道自己的健康狀況和出險機率,於是,在保險價格既定的條件下,往往是那些健康狀況差、出險機率高的人群購買意願較強,而健康狀況良好、出險機率較小的人群則傾向於不購買,因此,原來保險公司定價時所依據的出險機率在計算上存在偏差。而後來一些保險理論認為,購買保險的人具有異質性:一部分是自身健康狀況不好,覺得自己出現幾率比較大的人,另一部分則是自身健康狀況良好,只不過因為特別厭惡風險,在任何情況下都傾向於購買保險的人。平時由於信息不對稱,我們觀察不到他們各自的類型,但甘犁和他的合作夥伴們通過計量方法的設計卻能成功地在沒有直接私人信息的情況下也能區分二者的類型。

另一個是計量經濟學中的理論研究。在實際的教學和研究中,甘犁常常被一個問題所困擾:我們可以通過一階導為零作為條件求出極大似然估計,但卻無法區分這個估計是全局最優還是局部最優。難題激發了求知慾,他腦海中始終縈繞著這個問題,並嘗試從各種不同角度思考。終於,他發現了解決辦法:以兩種方法計算方差矩陣,一種是用二階導的方法,另一種是通過一階導的平方來計算。結論是,若兩種計算結果一致,則原估計為全局最優;若兩者不相等,則原估計為局部最優。

再有一例可謂課題重大卻至今仍然沒有理論成果。這便是,將公平這一概念引入經濟學中。現行經濟學的基礎是理性人假設,即人們會進行成本-收益分析,追求利潤最大化。可社會卻講究公平和效率的權衡取捨,公平是一個不容忽視的社會經濟問題。經濟學家們做過了很多的嘗試,典型的就是在人的效用函式中增加一個維度來描述“公平”,可這種方法仍然沒有改變經濟學以理性人假設為出發點的本質。這個問題長期困擾也同時吸引包括甘犁在內的一批學者,他們曾希望通過“無嫉妒條件(No envy condition)”將公平的概念引入經濟學,但仍未成功。甘犁說,這個問題因為重大所以格外困難,但他並不畏懼,興趣將始終促使他保持思考。

醉心學術,超然自得

在學術的道路上一路走來,甘犁覺得“怡然自得”。如今總結起來,主要有以下三個方面的感悟。

第一,學術難題激發思考,讓每個投身學術的人都能忘情樂在其中。在很多人看來,學者的生活是異常枯燥的。與政界要人的日理萬機、商界精英的叱吒風雲不同,學者的一天常常是待在自己的三尺書屋裡,掩面於書卷之間。除了和學生及合作夥伴有一些交流,更多時候是在遠離塵囂的冥思苦想中度過。同樣在很多人看來,學者的生活是相對清貧的。美國大學的經濟學博士畢業後,去業界賺錢最多,去高校任教薪水略低。然而,大部分學者都會淡泊自適,終身選擇學術或教學生涯。究其原因,甘犁認為,思想自由馳騁的快樂是無價的。每當想到自己在某個課題上是世界上用心最多、研究最深者之一時,油然而生的成就感和愉悅感無法用金錢來衡量。甘犁也曾有很好的機會去業界工作,但他毫不猶豫地放棄了,為的就是這種相伴終生的思想上的富足感。

第二,學術殿堂百家爭鳴,使每個熱愛學術的人都可尋得一席之地。甘犁認為,學術環境寬鬆而自由,不一定在哈佛任教才是優秀的學者,也不一定只在《美國經濟評論》發文才算對學術有貢獻。一個學者可以選擇在二、三流的大學教書,但仍孜孜不倦,上下求索;也可以選擇任何一個問題進行研究,哪怕其分量不足以刊登在《美國經濟評論》上,但仍可以為經濟學的發展提供真知灼見,擁有自己的位置,享有自己的價值。

第三,做學術最重要的特質之一是好奇心。甘犁認為,學術成就發端於好奇心。好奇心雖不能縮短成功之路的跋涉距離,卻足以使人心游萬仞、披荊斬棘,最終迎接折桂時刻的到來。他鼓勵在校生及早涉足學術研究領域,嘗試自己提出問題、解決問題,若對學術充滿好奇,便可考慮將其列為自己追尋一生的事業。

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