人物簡介
查濤教授是四川大學經濟學院長江講座教授(2013),他先後在國際頂級學術期刊 Econometrica、 American Economic Review、 Journal of Political Economy、 Journal of Monetary Economics、 Review of Economic Studies發表了40多篇 高質量的學術論文,被著名的經濟學學術機構Ideas/RePec排名中為全球華裔經濟學家第5位。他在結構巨觀經濟模型、巨觀實證計量分析和時間序列分析領域都有很高的造詣和聲望,在2011年諾貝爾經濟學獎委員會對諾獎獲得者Sims教授的授獎詞中3次列舉了查濤以及他與Sims教授的合作成果,Sims教授也在授獎典禮的演講詞中2次提到與查濤的合作成果。
2017年,查濤教授當選世界計量經濟學會院士。2017年新當選院士共有20名,查濤教授是其中唯一的華人經濟學家。
教育經歷
1982年成都地質學院(現成都理工大學)數學系獲學士學位
1985年西南財經大學統計系獲碩士學位
1988年華盛頓州立大學經濟學碩士學位
1992年美國明尼蘇達大學獲經濟學博士學位
工作經歷
1985-1986 在中國人民銀行任職
1987 國際貨幣基金組織亞洲司實習經濟學家
1989-1990 明尼阿波利斯聯邦儲備銀行研究部實證總量經濟學研究所 助理研究員
1990-1992 耶魯大學經濟系客座研究員
1992-1995 薩省大學經濟學助理教授
1995-1999 亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行 研究部經濟師
1999-2000 亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行 研究部高級經濟師
2000-2002 亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行 研究部助理副總裁
2002-2006 亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行 研究部政策顧問
2006-2008 亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行 研究部高級政策顧問
2007-2008 埃默里大學經濟系 兼職教授
2008-2009 埃默里大學經濟系 傑出訪問教授(Visiting DIstinguished professor)
現任職務
亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行數量經濟研究中心主任;美國國家經濟研究局副研究員;埃默里大學經濟系教授,美國《經濟計量學( Journal of Econometrics)》副主編;《總量經濟學動態( Macroeconomic Dynamics)》副總編;《套用經濟計量學( Journal of Applied Econometrics)》副主編;《 Econometrica》雜誌副主編;《 American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics》副主編 ;《 Quantitative Economics》主編 。
學術研究
主要研究方向是貨幣經濟學和經濟計量學。從1996年至今在全球頂級經濟學期刊《美國經濟評論》(American Economic Review)、《政治經濟學期刊》(Journal of Political Economy)、《經濟研究評論》(Review of Economic Studies)、《經濟計量學》(Econometrica)等期刊上發表40多篇論文 。
4.1.學術論文
1.“The Nexus of Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking in China”, (Forthcoming at American E conomic Review. For a working paper version, see also NBER Working Paper23377, May 2017). With Kaiji Chen and Jue Ren.
2.“Striated Metropolis-Hastings sampler for high-dimensional models”, Journal of Econometrics, 2016, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 406-420. With Waggoner, Daniel F., and Wu, Hongwei.
3 .“What We Learn from China’s Rising Shadow Banking: Exploring the Nexus of Monetary Tightening and Banks’ Role in Entrusted Lending”, NBER Working Paper21890, January 2016. With Kaiji Chen and Jue Ren.
4.“Land Prices and Unemployment”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 2016, volume 80, pages 86-105. With Zheng Liu and Jianjun Miao.
5.“Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models”, Quantitative Economics, 2016, volume 7, pages 637-669. With Andrew Foerster, Juan Rubio-Ramirez, and Daniel Waggoner.
6.“Dynamic Striated Metropolis-Hastings Sampler for High-Dimensional Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 2016 (June), volume 192, issue 2, pages 406-420. With Daniel F. Waggoner and Hongwei Wu.
7.“Trends and Cycles in China’s Macroeconomy”, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2016, volume 30, pages 1-84. WIth Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, and Daniel F. Waggoner.
8.“Land-Price Dynamics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations”, Econometrica, 2013(May), volume 81, issue 3, pages 1147-1184. With Zheng Liu and Pengfei Wang.
9 .“Forecasting Chinas Economic Growth and Inflation”, China Economic Review, 2016, volume 41, pages 46-61. With Patrick Higgins andWennaZhong.
10 .“Confronting Model Misspecification in Macroeconomics”, Journal of Econometrics, 2012 (December), volume 171, issue 2, pages 167-184. With Daniel F. Waggoner.
1 1 .“Minimal State Variable Solutions to Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models”, J ournal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2011, volume 35, number12, pages 2150-2166. With Roger E.A. Farmer and Daniel F. Waggoner.
1 2 .“Sources of Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Regime-Switching DSGE Approach”, Quantitative Economics, 2011, volume 2, pages 251-301. With Zheng Liu and Daniel F. Waggoner.
1 3 .“Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference”, Review of Economic Studies, 2010, volume 77, pages 665-696. with Juan Rubio-Ramirez and Daniel F. Waggoner.
1 4 .“Generalizing the Taylor Principle: Comment”, American Economic Review, 2010 (March), volume 100, issue 1, pages 608-617. With Roger E.A. Farmer and Daniel F. Waggoner.
1 5.“Understanding Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models”, Journal of Economic Theory, 2009 (November), volume 144, issue 6, pages 1849-1867. With Roger E.A. Farmer and Daniel F. Waggoner.
1 6.“The Conquest of South American Inflation”, Journal of Political Economy, 2009 (April), volume 117, number 2, pages 211-256. With Thomas J. Sargent and Noah Williams.
1 7.“Asymmetric Expectation Effects of Regime Switches in Monetary Policy”, Review of Economic Dynamics, 2009 (April), volume 12, number 2, pages 284-303. With Zheng Liu and Daniel F. Waggoner.
1 8.“Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks”, Economic Journal, 2009 (March), volume 119, issue 536, pages 377-405. With Kevin X.D. Huang and Zheng Liu.
1 9.“Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model”, International Journal of Economic Theory, 2009 (March), volume 5, pages 69-84. With Roger E.A. Farmer and Daniel F. Waggoner.
20 .“Methods for Inference in Large Multiple-Equation Markov-Switching Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 2008, volume 146, issue 2, pages 255-274. With Christopher A. Sims and Daniel F. Waggoner.
2 1.“Normalization in Econometrics”, Econometric Reviews, 2007, volume 26, numbers 2-4, pages 221-252. Special issue on“Bayesian Dynamic Econometrics.” With James D. Hamilton and Daniel F. Waggoner.
2 2.“Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation”, American Economic Review, 2006 (September), volume 96, number 4, pages 1193-1224. With Thomas J. Sargent and Noah Williams.
2 3.“Does Monetary Policy Generate Recessions?”, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2006(April), volume 10, number 2, pages 231-272. With Christopher A. Sims.
2 4.“Were There Regime Switches in US Monetary Policy?”, American Economic Review, 2006 (March), volume 96, number 1, pages 54-81. With Christopher A. Sims.
2 5.“Modest Policy Interventions”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003 (November), volume 50, issue 8, pages 1673-1700. With Eric M. Leeper.
2 6.“A Gibbs Sampler for Structural Vector Autoregressions”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2003 (November), volume 28, issues 2, pages 349-366. With Daniel F. Waggoner.
2 7.“Likelihood Preserving Normalization in Multiple Equation Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 2003 (June), volume 114, issue 2, pages 329-347. With Daniel F. Waggoner.
2 8.“Evaluating Wall Street Journal Survey Forecasters: A Multivariate Approach”, Business Economics, 2002 (July), volume 37, issue 3, pages 11-21. With Robert A. Eisenbeis and Daniel F. Waggoner.
2 9.“Quantifying the Uncertainty about the Half-Life of Deviations from PPP”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2002 (March-April), volume 17, issue 2, pages 107-125. With Lutz Kilian.
30.“Bankruptcy Law, Capital Allocation, and Aggregate Effects: A Dynamic Heterogeneous Agent Model with Incomplete Markets”, Annals of Economics and Finance, 2001 (November), volume 2, issue 2, pages 379-400.
3 1. “Assessing Simple Policy Rules: A View from a Complete Macroeconomic Model”, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis review(the symposium on monetary policy rules sponsored by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Stanford University), 2001 (July-August), volume 83, issue 4, pages 83-110. With Eric M.Leeper.
3 2.“Conditional Forecasts in Dynamic Multivariate Models”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 1999 (November), volume 81, issue 4, pages 639-651. With Daniel F. Waggoner.
3 3.“Error Bands for Impulse Responses”, Econometrica, 1999 (September), volume 67, issue 5, pages 1113-1155. With Christopher A. Sims.
3 4.“Block Recursion and Structural Vector Autoregressions”, Journal of Econometrics, 1999 (June), volume 90, issue 2, page 291-316.
3 5 .“Trends in Velocity and Policy Expectations”, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1998 (December), volume 49, pages 265-304. With David B. Gordon and Eric M. Leeper.
3 6.“Bayesian Methods for Dynamic Multivariate Models”, International Economic Review, 1998 (November), volume 39, issue 4, pages 949-968. With Christopher A. Sims.
3 7. “Identifying Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy under Flexible Exchange Rates”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 1997 (August), volume 39, issue 3, pages 433-448. with David O. Cushman.
3 8. “What Does Monetary Policy Do?”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1996, issue 2, pages 1-78. With Eric M. Leeper and Christopher A. Sims.
39. “Monetary policy and racial unemployment rates”, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta,2000, issue Q4, pages 1-16.With Madeline Zavodny.
40. “Evaluating the effects of monetary policy with economic models”, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta,1999, issue Q4, pages 4-15.
4 1. “A dynamic multivariate model for use in formulating policy”, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 1998, issue Q1, pages 16-29.
4 2. “Identifying monetary policy: a primer”, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta,1997, issue Q2, pages 26-43.